South Korea host Uruguay in the Friendlies on Monday 28 September, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Seoul World Cup Stadium.
Form guide
South Korea's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Ecuador 3–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Uruguay's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Japan 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
South Korea arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for South Korea and 1.1 for Uruguay. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: South Korea 44%, draw 23%, Uruguay 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: South Korea 1–1 Uruguay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
South Korea44%fair 2.25 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.90
Uruguay32%fair 3.11 · @2.90
2.50Expected goals
1.38South Korea xG
1.12Uruguay xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: South Korea 1.4 – 1.1 Uruguay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Korea to win✗
44%
2.25
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Korea / FT South Korea✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.83
–
Form
South Korea – last 6
WLLWWW
24 Sep
vs Ecuador
3–0
W
25 Jun
@ South Africa
0–1
L
19 Jun
@ Mexico
0–1
L
12 Jun
vs Czech Republic
2–1
W
4 Jun
vs El Salvador
1–0
W
31 May
vs Trinidad and Tobago
5–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Uruguay – last 6
LLDDDD
24 Sep
@ Japan
1–3
L
27 Jun
vs Spain
0–1
L
21 Jun
vs Cape Verde Islands
2–2
D
15 Jun
@ Saudi Arabia
1–1
D
31 Mar
@ Algeria
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ England
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Korea and Uruguay.
What is the prediction for South Korea vs Uruguay?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win South Korea vs Uruguay?
On our numbers South Korea have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Uruguay 32%.
How many goals will there be in South Korea vs Uruguay?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Korea vs Uruguay?
Our predicted score is South Korea 1–1 Uruguay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is South Korea vs Uruguay?
South Korea vs Uruguay (Friendlies) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Seoul World Cup Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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