Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Torino to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTorino to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceTorino or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.83
Torino vs Monza preview and prediction
The match
The Coppa Italia sees Torino take on Monza on Tuesday 1 September, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadio Olimpico di Torino.
Form guide
Torino's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Sassuolo 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Monza's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Udinese 2–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Torino and 0.6 for Monza. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Torino 61%, draw 24%, Monza 15%.
Safer route: Torino or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Torino to win at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Torino or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Torino 1–0 Monza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Torino61%fair 1.63 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.45
Monza15%fair 6.72 · @4.40
2.23Expected goals
1.60Torino xG
0.63Monza xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Torino 1.6 – 0.6 Monza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torino to win✗
61%
1.63
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Torino or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torino / FT Torino✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.83
–
Form
Torino – last 6
LLWDWL
29 Aug
@ Sassuolo
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs AC Milan
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Carrarese
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Avellino
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ Burnley
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Cittadella
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Monza – last 6
LLWDLW
29 Aug
vs Udinese
2–3
L
22 Aug
@ Inter
1–4
L
14 Aug
vs Avellino
3–0
W
7 Aug
vs Padova
3–3
D
30 Jul
vs Aris Thessalonikis
1–3
L
24 Jul
@ Galatasaray
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torino and Monza.
Our pick is Torino or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Torino vs Monza?
On our numbers Torino have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Monza 15%.
How many goals will there be in Torino vs Monza?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torino vs Monza?
Our predicted score is Torino 1–0 Monza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Torino vs Monza?
Torino vs Monza (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico di Torino.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Parma0
Cremonese2