Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Libertad Asuncion to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.36Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓68% · @1.36
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 6.00
Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo preview and prediction
The match
Libertad Asuncion host Club Sp. San Lorenzo in the Division Profesional Clausura on Monday 24 August, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta. Libertad Asuncion are 3rd with 33 points from 19 games (in the top four), while Club Sp. San Lorenzo sit 12th on 11 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Libertad Asuncion's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Tacuary 0–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Club Sp. San Lorenzo's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Cerro Porteno 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Libertad Asuncion arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Libertad Asuncion 5–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo. Across their last 2 meetings Libertad Asuncion have won 2, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0, with 0 draws and 6.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Libertad Asuncion and 0.6 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Libertad Asuncion 68%, draw 22%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Libertad Asuncion to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Libertad Asuncion68%fair 1.48 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @4.40
Club Sp. San Lorenzo10%fair 9.80 · @7.50
2.40Expected goals
1.84Libertad Asuncion xG
0.56Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–19%
3–09%
0–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 1.8 – 0.6 Club Sp. San Lorenzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Our pick is Libertad Asuncion to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Club Sp. San Lorenzo 10%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
