Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Nacional Asuncion or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Nacional Asuncion to win @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNacional Asuncion to win ✓65% · @1.80
Double chanceNacional Asuncion or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 12.86
Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno preview and prediction
The match
Sportivo Luqueno travel to Estadio Arsenio Erico in the Division Profesional Clausura on Monday 24 August (20:00 WAT) to face Nacional Asuncion. Nacional Asuncion are 4th with 32 points from 19 games (in the top four), while Sportivo Luqueno sit 8th on 22 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Nacional Asuncion's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Benjamín Aceval 2–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sportivo Luqueno's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Paraguari AC 2–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 March 2026, finished Nacional Asuncion 3–2 Sportivo Luqueno.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Nacional Asuncion and 0.8 for Sportivo Luqueno. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nacional Asuncion 65%, draw 20%, Sportivo Luqueno 16%.
Safer route: Nacional Asuncion or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Nacional Asuncion to win at 1.80 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nacional Asuncion or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Nacional Asuncion 1–0 Sportivo Luqueno. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nacional Asuncion65%fair 1.55 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.30
Sportivo Luqueno16%fair 6.37 · @4.20
2.70Expected goals
1.91Nacional Asuncion xG
0.79Sportivo Luqueno xG
49%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nacional Asuncion 1.9 – 0.8 Sportivo Luqueno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Our pick is Nacional Asuncion or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?
On our numbers Nacional Asuncion have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sportivo Luqueno 16%.
How many goals will there be in Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Our predicted score is Nacional Asuncion 1–0 Sportivo Luqueno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arsenio Erico.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
