NPFL · Nigeria · Samuel Ogbemudia StadiumBendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bendel Insurance 1.2 – 1.2 Niger Tornadoes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Bendel Insurance and Niger Tornadoes on our numbers – 45% for the home side, 42% for the visitors and 13% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Bendel Insurance have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 per game. Niger Tornadoes have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 0.7 scored and 0.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.2 for Bendel Insurance, 1.2 for Niger Tornadoes). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 47%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 78% chance.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bendel Insurance to win ✓ | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.46 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.20 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bendel Insurance / FT Bendel Insurance ✗ | 21% | 4.66 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.85 | – |
Form
Bendel Insurance – last 6
| 4 Nov | @ Enugu Rangers | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Nov | @ Kwara United | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Rivers United | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Sporting Lagos | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Barau FC | 4–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Abia Warriors | 0–3 | L |
Niger Tornadoes – last 6
| 30 Oct | vs Barau FC | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Oct | @ Abia Warriors | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Ikorodu City | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Ranchers Bees | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Kun Khalifat FC | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Nasarawa United | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bendel Insurance and Niger Tornadoes.
NPFL table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Enugu Rangers | 38 | +20 | 68 |
| 2 |  Rivers United | 38 | +13 | 67 |
| 3 |  Shooting Stars | 38 | +1 | 60 |
| 4 |  Ikorodu City | 38 | +4 | 58 |
| 5 |  Nasarawa United | 38 | +3 | 56 |
| 6 |  Abia Warriors | 38 | -3 | 55 |
| 7 |  Bendel Insurance | 37 | +5 | 53 |
| 8 |  Barau FC | 38 | +4 | 52 |
| 9 |  Katsina United | 37 | -2 | 52 |
| 10 |  Kano Pillars | 38 | -2 | 51 |
| 11 |  Plateau United | 38 | -1 | 50 |
| 12 |  Kwara United | 38 | -1 | 50 |
| 13 |  Enyimba | 38 | +2 | 49 |
| 14 |  Kun Khalifat FC | 38 | -1 | 49 |
| 15 |  Warri Wolves | 38 | -5 | 49 |
| 16 |  Niger Tornadoes | 38 | +1 | 48 |
| 17 |  Remo Stars | 38 | -5 | 47 |
| 18 |  El Kanemi Warriors | 38 | -16 | 47 |
| 19 |  Bayelsa United | 38 | -5 | 43 |
| 20 |  Wikki Tourist | 38 | -12 | 40 |
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Ranchers Bees1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance.
Who will win Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes?
On our numbers Bendel Insurance have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Niger Tornadoes 42%.
How many goals will there be in Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes?
Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.