NPFL · Nigeria · Lafia Township Stadium

Nasarawa United

LWWWD
3–1
FT

Plateau United

DDLWL

Nasarawa United vs Plateau United prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.23 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.23Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.09 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultNasarawa United to win ✓62% · @1.43
Double chanceNasarawa United or draw ✓84% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.09
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.82

Win chances

Nasarawa United62%fair 1.61 · @1.43
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.75
Plateau United16%fair 6.08 · @6.40
2.47Expected goals
1.73Nasarawa United xG
0.74Plateau United xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Nasarawa United 1.7 – 0.7 Plateau United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Nasarawa United are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 16% for Plateau United.

Nasarawa United have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.3 per game. Plateau United have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. Nasarawa United come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 for Nasarawa United, 0.7 for Plateau United). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).

In their last 1 meeting, Nasarawa United have won 1, Plateau United have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.23 is close to our fair price of 1.33. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.09 is our value angle (53% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNasarawa United to win ✓62%1.611.43
Double chanceNasarawa United or draw ✓84%1.201.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.882.09 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.421.29
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.71
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.331.23
Half-time resultNasarawa United ahead at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nasarawa United / FT Nasarawa United ✗38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.82–

Form

Nasarawa United – last 6

LWWWDW
1 Nov@ Kano Pillars0–2L
25 Octvs Enyimba1–0W
18 Oct@ Inter Lagos2–0W
11 Octvs Doma United2–0W
4 Oct@ Shooting Stars0–0D
27 Sepvs Niger Tornadoes1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Plateau United – last 6

DDLWLW
1 Novvs Warri Wolves1–1D
25 Oct@ Katsina United2–2D
18 Octvs Sporting Lagos2–3L
11 Octvs Kano Pillars4–0W
4 Oct@ Enyimba0–2L
27 Sepvs Inter Lagos2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Jun 2026Nasarawa United v Plateau United2–1

NPFL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Enugu Rangers3819118+2068
2Rivers United3819109+1367
3Shooting Stars3818614+160
4Ikorodu City38161012+458
5Nasarawa United3816814+356
6Abia Warriors3816715-355
7Bendel Insurance37131410+553
8Barau FC38131312+452
9Katsina United37141013-252
10Kano Pillars3815617-251
11Plateau United3815518-150
12Kwara United38131114-150
13Enyimba38131015+249
14Kun Khalifat FC38131015-149
15Warri Wolves38131015-549
16Niger Tornadoes3813916+148
17Remo Stars3814519-547
18El Kanemi Warriors3813817-1647
19Bayelsa United38111017-543
20Wikki Tourist3891316-1240

More NPFL predictions

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FT Abia Warriors2 Doma United2 662113 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.21 ✗ FT Ranchers Bees1 Enyimba0 452333 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓ FT Warri Wolves1 Katsina United1 642511 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.26 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nasarawa United vs Plateau United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Nasarawa United vs Plateau United?

On our numbers Nasarawa United have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Plateau United 16%.

How many goals will there be in Nasarawa United vs Plateau United?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

When is Nasarawa United vs Plateau United?

Nasarawa United vs Plateau United (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lafia Township Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.