NPFL · Nigeria · Umuahia Township Stadium

Abia Warriors

LLDDL

2–2

Doma United

DDLWL

Abia Warriors vs Doma United prediction & analysis

75%

Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.21 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating

1.21Odds

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.09 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultAbia Warriors to win ✗66% · @1.52

Double chanceAbia Warriors or draw ✓87% · @1.04

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.09

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.21

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.54

Win chances

Abia Warriors66%fair 1.52 · @1.52

Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40

Doma United13%fair 7.72 · @6.20

2.48Expected goals

1.83Abia Warriors xG

0.65Doma United xG

51%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–015%

2–014%

1–110%

2–19%

3–09%

0–08%

From our goals model: Abia Warriors 1.8 – 0.7 Doma United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Abia Warriors are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 13% for Doma United.

Abia Warriors have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 per game. Doma United have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.

We expect around 2.5 goals (1.8 for Abia Warriors, 0.7 for Doma United). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.21 is close to our fair price of 1.33. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.09 is our value angle (51% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Abia Warriors to win ✗	66%	1.52	1.52
Double chance	Abia Warriors or draw ✓	87%	1.15	1.04
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	51%	1.96	2.09 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	69%	1.44	1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.81	1.64
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	75%	1.33	1.21
Half-time result	Abia Warriors ahead at half-time ✗	46%	2.19	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Abia Warriors / FT Abia Warriors ✗	42%	2.41	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	15%	6.54	–

Form

Abia Warriors – last 6

LLDDLW

1 Nov	@ Shooting Stars	1–4	L
25 Oct	vs Niger Tornadoes	0–1	L
18 Oct	@ Kwara United	1–1	D
11 Oct	vs Rivers United	0–0	D
4 Oct	@ Enugu Rangers	1–3	L
27 Sep	vs Bendel Insurance	3–0	W

1.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Doma United – last 6

DDLWLD

31 Oct	vs Ikorodu City	2–2	D
17 Oct	vs Kun Khalifat FC	1–1	D
11 Oct	@ Nasarawa United	0–2	L
4 Oct	vs Warri Wolves	1–0	W
27 Sep	@ Katsina United	1–2	L
23 Sep	vs Plateau United	2–2	D

1.2Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Abia Warriors and Doma United.

NPFL table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Enugu Rangers	38	19	11	8	+20	68
2	Rivers United	38	19	10	9	+13	67
3	Shooting Stars	38	18	6	14	+1	60
4	Ikorodu City	38	16	10	12	+4	58
5	Nasarawa United	38	16	8	14	+3	56
6	Abia Warriors	38	16	7	15	-3	55
7	Bendel Insurance	37	13	14	10	+5	53
8	Barau FC	38	13	13	12	+4	52
9	Katsina United	37	14	10	13	-2	52
10	Kano Pillars	38	15	6	17	-2	51
11	Plateau United	38	15	5	18	-1	50
12	Kwara United	38	13	11	14	-1	50
13	Enyimba	38	13	10	15	+2	49
14	Kun Khalifat FC	38	13	10	15	-1	49
15	Warri Wolves	38	13	10	15	-5	49
16	Niger Tornadoes	38	13	9	16	+1	48
17	Remo Stars	38	14	5	19	-5	47
18	El Kanemi Warriors	38	13	8	17	-16	47
19	Bayelsa United	38	11	10	17	-5	43
20	Wikki Tourist	38	9	13	16	-12	40

More NPFL predictions

League hub →

Nasarawa United3

Plateau United1 622116 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.23 ✗ FT

Ranchers Bees1

Enyimba0 452333 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓ FT

Warri Wolves1

Katsina United1 642511 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.26 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Abia Warriors vs Doma United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Abia Warriors vs Doma United?

On our numbers Abia Warriors have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Doma United 13%.

How many goals will there be in Abia Warriors vs Doma United?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

When is Abia Warriors vs Doma United?

Abia Warriors vs Doma United (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Umuahia Township Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.