Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Shooting Stars to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultShooting Stars to win ✗61% · @1.57
Double chanceShooting Stars or draw ✓81% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.14
Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United preview and prediction
The match
The NPFL sees Shooting Stars take on Nasarawa United on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Lekan Salami Stadium. Shooting Stars are 3rd with 60 points from 38 games (in the top four), while Nasarawa United sit 5th on 56 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Shooting Stars's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Enyimba 2–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Nasarawa United's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Niger Tornadoes 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Shooting Stars and 0.8 for Nasarawa United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Shooting Stars 61%, draw 20%, Nasarawa United 19%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Shooting Stars to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Shooting Stars 1–0 Nasarawa United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shooting Stars61%fair 1.63 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.40
Nasarawa United19%fair 5.37 · @5.50
2.51Expected goals
1.72Shooting Stars xG
0.79Nasarawa United xG
44%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Shooting Stars 1.7 – 0.8 Nasarawa United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shooting Stars to win✗
61%
1.63
1.57
Double chance
Shooting Stars or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shooting Stars / FT Shooting Stars✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.14
–
Form
Shooting Stars – last 6
LLWLLW
30 Sep
@ Enyimba
2–4
L
27 Sep
@ Warri Wolves
0–1
L
23 Sep
vs Katsina United
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Plateau United
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ CS Sfaxien
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs CS Sfaxien
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nasarawa United – last 6
WLDLWL
27 Sep
vs Niger Tornadoes
1–0
W
23 Sep
@ Kwara United
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Rivers United
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Enugu Rangers
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Bendel Insurance
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Barau FC
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shooting Stars and Nasarawa United.
What is the prediction for Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United?
Our pick is Shooting Stars to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United?
On our numbers Shooting Stars have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nasarawa United 19%.
How many goals will there be in Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United?
Our predicted score is Shooting Stars 1–0 Nasarawa United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United?
Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lekan Salami Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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