NPFL · Nigeria · Bako Kontagora StadiumNiger Tornadoes vs Kun Khalifat FC prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Niger Tornadoes 2.2 – 0.6 Kun Khalifat FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Niger Tornadoes are clear favourites at home with a 73% chance of winning, against 9% for Kun Khalifat FC.
Niger Tornadoes have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Kun Khalifat FC have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (2.2 for Niger Tornadoes, 0.6 for Kun Khalifat FC). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 45%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (14%), 1–0 (13%), 3–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Niger Tornadoes have won 0, Kun Khalifat FC have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.74.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Niger Tornadoes to win ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.17 |
| Double chance | Niger Tornadoes or draw ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.29 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.46 | – |
| Half-time result | Niger Tornadoes ahead at half-time ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Niger Tornadoes / FT Niger Tornadoes ✗ | 48% | 2.06 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.07 | – |
Form
Niger Tornadoes – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ Nasarawa United | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | vs Warri Wolves | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Katsina United | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ Kano Pillars | 2–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Enyimba | 2–1 | W |
| 24 May | vs Shooting Stars | 1–0 | W |
Kun Khalifat FC – last 6
| 27 Sep | vs Kwara United | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | @ Rivers United | 0–5 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Enugu Rangers | 2–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Bendel Insurance | 2–4 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Barau FC | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Apr | @ Plateau United | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 22 Feb 2026 | Kun Khalifat FC v Niger Tornadoes | 2–0 |
NPFL table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Enugu Rangers | 38 | +20 | 68 |
| 2 |  Rivers United | 38 | +13 | 67 |
| 3 |  Shooting Stars | 38 | +1 | 60 |
| 4 |  Ikorodu City | 38 | +4 | 58 |
| 5 |  Nasarawa United | 38 | +3 | 56 |
| 6 |  Abia Warriors | 38 | -3 | 55 |
| 7 |  Bendel Insurance | 37 | +5 | 53 |
| 8 |  Barau FC | 38 | +4 | 52 |
| 9 |  Katsina United | 37 | -2 | 52 |
| 10 |  Kano Pillars | 38 | -2 | 51 |
| 11 |  Plateau United | 38 | -1 | 50 |
| 12 |  Kwara United | 38 | -1 | 50 |
| 13 |  Enyimba | 38 | +2 | 49 |
| 14 |  Kun Khalifat FC | 38 | -1 | 49 |
| 15 |  Warri Wolves | 38 | -5 | 49 |
| 16 |  Niger Tornadoes | 38 | +1 | 48 |
| 17 |  Remo Stars | 38 | -5 | 47 |
| 18 |  El Kanemi Warriors | 38 | -16 | 47 |
| 19 |  Bayelsa United | 38 | -5 | 43 |
| 20 |  Wikki Tourist | 38 | -12 | 40 |
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Inter Lagos1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Niger Tornadoes vs Kun Khalifat FC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Niger Tornadoes vs Kun Khalifat FC?
On our numbers Niger Tornadoes have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Kun Khalifat FC 9%.
How many goals will there be in Niger Tornadoes vs Kun Khalifat FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
When is Niger Tornadoes vs Kun Khalifat FC?
Niger Tornadoes vs Kun Khalifat FC (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Bako Kontagora Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.