NPFL · Nigeria · Samuel Ogbemudia StadiumBendel Insurance vs Barau FC prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bendel Insurance 1.2 – 1.4 Barau FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Barau FC shade it despite being away from home – 50% to win, against 39% for Bendel Insurance.
Bendel Insurance have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. Barau FC have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.2 for Bendel Insurance, 1.4 for Barau FC). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Barau FC to win ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.91 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Barau FC / FT Barau FC ✗ | 25% | 4.03 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.38 | – |
Form
Bendel Insurance – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ Abia Warriors | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | vs Ikorodu City | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Ranchers Bees | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Kun Khalifat FC | 4–2 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Nasarawa United | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Warri Wolves | 2–1 | W |
Barau FC – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ Sporting Lagos | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Sep | vs Abia Warriors | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Ikorodu City | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Ranchers Bees | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Kun Khalifat FC | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Nasarawa United | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bendel Insurance and Barau FC.
NPFL table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Enugu Rangers | 38 | +20 | 68 |
| 2 |  Rivers United | 38 | +13 | 67 |
| 3 |  Shooting Stars | 38 | +1 | 60 |
| 4 |  Ikorodu City | 38 | +4 | 58 |
| 5 |  Nasarawa United | 38 | +3 | 56 |
| 6 |  Abia Warriors | 38 | -3 | 55 |
| 7 |  Bendel Insurance | 37 | +5 | 53 |
| 8 |  Barau FC | 38 | +4 | 52 |
| 9 |  Katsina United | 37 | -2 | 52 |
| 10 |  Kano Pillars | 38 | -2 | 51 |
| 11 |  Plateau United | 38 | -1 | 50 |
| 12 |  Kwara United | 38 | -1 | 50 |
| 13 |  Enyimba | 38 | +2 | 49 |
| 14 |  Kun Khalifat FC | 38 | -1 | 49 |
| 15 |  Warri Wolves | 38 | -5 | 49 |
| 16 |  Niger Tornadoes | 38 | +1 | 48 |
| 17 |  Remo Stars | 38 | -5 | 47 |
| 18 |  El Kanemi Warriors | 38 | -16 | 47 |
| 19 |  Bayelsa United | 38 | -5 | 43 |
| 20 |  Wikki Tourist | 38 | -12 | 40 |
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Inter Lagos1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bendel Insurance vs Barau FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance.
Who will win Bendel Insurance vs Barau FC?
On our numbers Bendel Insurance have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Barau FC 50%.
How many goals will there be in Bendel Insurance vs Barau FC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Bendel Insurance vs Barau FC?
Bendel Insurance vs Barau FC (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.