Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.64
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗16% · fair 6.32
Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd preview and prediction
The match
The 1st Division sees Pogradeci take on Sopoti Librazhd on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT). Pogradeci are 5th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Sopoti Librazhd sit 11th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Pogradeci's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Korabi Peshkopi 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sopoti Librazhd's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Flamurtari 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Pogradeci arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.1 for Pogradeci and 0.5 for Sopoti Librazhd. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 39%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Pogradeci 3–0 Sopoti Librazhd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pogradeci73%fair 1.38 · @1.17
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @6.00
Sopoti Librazhd6%fair 16.11 · @11.00
2.65Expected goals
2.12Pogradeci xG
0.53Sopoti Librazhd xG
39%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–016%
1–015%
3–011%
2–18%
1–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pogradeci 2.1 – 0.5 Sopoti Librazhd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogradeci to win✗
73%
1.38
1.17
Double chance
Pogradeci or draw✓
94%
1.07
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Pogradeci ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogradeci / FT Pogradeci✗
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
16%
6.32
–
Form
Pogradeci – last 6
WWDWWD
11 Oct
@ Korabi Peshkopi
2–0
W
7 Oct
vs Delvina
7–0
W
20 Sep
vs Flamurtari
0–0
D
16 Sep
@ FK Kukesi
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Kastrioti Krujë
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0–0
D
2.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sopoti Librazhd – last 6
LDDWLD
10 Oct
@ Flamurtari
0–2
L
6 Oct
@ Besëlidhja Lezhë
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Kastrioti Krujë
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Burreli
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs Besa Kavajë
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ Bylis
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogradeci and Sopoti Librazhd.
What is the prediction for Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd?
On our numbers Pogradeci have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sopoti Librazhd 6%.
How many goals will there be in Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd?
Our predicted score is Pogradeci 3–0 Sopoti Librazhd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd?
Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd (1st Division) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
