Karbala travel to face Newroz in the Iraqi League on Friday 6 November (14:00 WAT). Newroz are 2nd with 26 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Karbala sit 20th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Newroz's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Al Shorta 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Karbala's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Al Talaba 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Newroz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Newroz and 0.7 for Karbala. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newroz 65%, draw 21%, Karbala 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.92.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: Newroz 1–0 Karbala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newroz65%fair 1.53 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.78
Karbala13%fair 7.57 · @6.65
2.49Expected goals
1.82Newroz xG
0.67Karbala xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Newroz 1.8 – 0.7 Karbala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newroz to win✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Double chance
Newroz or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.92
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.29
Half-time result
Newroz ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newroz / FT Newroz✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.62
–
Form
Newroz – last 6
DDWWDW
30 Oct
@ Al Shorta
1–1
D
24 Oct
vs Diyala
0–0
D
16 Oct
vs Al Minaa Basra
2–0
W
9 Oct
@ Zakho
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Ghaz Al Shamal
0–0
D
14 Sep
@ Al-Jolan SC
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Karbala – last 6
DLLDLL
30 Oct
vs Al Talaba
2–2
D
23 Oct
@ Duhok
2–5
L
16 Oct
vs Gharraf
1–2
L
10 Oct
@ Al Kahrabaa
0–0
D
18 Sep
vs Erbil
0–3
L
14 Sep
@ Naft
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newroz and Karbala.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Newroz vs Karbala?
On our numbers Newroz have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Karbala 13%.
How many goals will there be in Newroz vs Karbala?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newroz vs Karbala?
Our predicted score is Newroz 1–0 Karbala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Newroz vs Karbala?
Newroz vs Karbala (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
