Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.78 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.78Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Talaba to win ✗60% · @1.78
Double chanceAl Talaba or draw ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.39
Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal preview and prediction
The match
Al Talaba host Ghaz Al Shamal in the Iraqi League on Friday 6 November, with kick-off at 14:45 (WAT) at Al Talaba Stadium. Al Talaba are 11th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Ghaz Al Shamal sit 10th on 16 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al Talaba's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Karbala 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ghaz Al Shamal's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Erbil 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.4 for Al Talaba and 0.6 for Ghaz Al Shamal. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Talaba 60%, draw 22%, Ghaz Al Shamal 18%.
Safer route: Al Talaba or draw (82%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Talaba to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.78, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Talaba 1–0 Ghaz Al Shamal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Talaba60%fair 1.66 · @1.78
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.20
Ghaz Al Shamal18%fair 5.57 · @4.27
2.06Expected goals
1.45Al Talaba xG
0.61Ghaz Al Shamal xG
48%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–013%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Al Talaba 1.4 – 0.6 Ghaz Al Shamal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Talaba to win✗
60%
1.66
1.78 ▲
Double chance
Al Talaba or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.58
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Talaba / FT Al Talaba✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.39
–
Form
Al Talaba – last 6
DWWDDL
30 Oct
@ Karbala
2–2
D
22 Oct
vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1–0
W
16 Oct
@ Al Kahrabaa
1–0
W
8 Oct
vs Al Shorta
0–0
D
18 Sep
vs Al-Jolan SC
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Naft Maysan
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ghaz Al Shamal – last 6
DWWLDD
31 Oct
@ Erbil
1–1
D
24 Oct
vs Naft Maysan
1–0
W
18 Oct
vs Al Zawra'a
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Al Minaa Basra
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Newroz
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Al Shorta
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Talaba and Ghaz Al Shamal.
What is the prediction for Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
Our pick is Al Talaba to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.78.
Who will win Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
On our numbers Al Talaba have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ghaz Al Shamal 18%.
How many goals will there be in Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
Our predicted score is Al Talaba 1–0 Ghaz Al Shamal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Al Talaba Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
