Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Quwa Al Jawiya to win ✗65% · @1.83
Double chanceAl Quwa Al Jawiya or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.17
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra preview and prediction
The match
Al Minaa Basra travel to face Al Quwa Al Jawiya in the Iraqi League on Thursday 29 October (16:30 WAT). Al Quwa Al Jawiya are 14th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Al Minaa Basra sit 9th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Al Quwa Al Jawiya's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Pakhtakor 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Minaa Basra's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Al-Karma 2–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Al Quwa Al Jawiya and 0.6 for Al Minaa Basra. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 41%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 65%, draw 22%, Al Minaa Basra 12%.
Safer route: Al Quwa Al Jawiya or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–0 Al Minaa Basra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Quwa Al Jawiya65%fair 1.53 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.20
Al Minaa Basra12%fair 8.14 · @4.00
2.39Expected goals
1.77Al Quwa Al Jawiya xG
0.62Al Minaa Basra xG
41%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–09%
From our goals model: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1.8 – 0.6 Al Minaa Basra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win✗
65%
1.53
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Al Quwa Al Jawiya or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Al Quwa Al Jawiya ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Quwa Al Jawiya / FT Al Quwa Al Jawiya✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.17
–
Form
Al Quwa Al Jawiya – last 6
WLDLWD
26 Oct
vs Pakhtakor
1–0
W
22 Oct
@ Al Talaba
0–1
L
17 Oct
vs Al-Karma
0–0
D
12 Oct
vs Al Ain
1–4
L
7 Oct
@ Mosul
3–0
W
19 Sep
vs Diyala
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Al Minaa Basra – last 6
WLWDLD
24 Oct
vs Al-Karma
2–1
W
16 Oct
@ Newroz
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs Ghaz Al Shamal
2–0
W
18 Sep
vs Duhok
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Al Kahrabaa
1–2
L
9 Sep
vs Naft Maysan
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Al Minaa Basra.
What is the prediction for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra?
Our pick is Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra?
On our numbers Al Quwa Al Jawiya have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al Minaa Basra 12%.
How many goals will there be in Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra?
Our predicted score is Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–0 Al Minaa Basra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra?
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Minaa Basra (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
