Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNaft to win ✓62% · @1.73
Double chanceNaft or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓64% · fair 1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 5.01
Naft vs Al Kahrabaa preview and prediction
The match
The Iraqi League sees Naft take on Al Kahrabaa on Thursday 29 October, kicking off at 14:45 (WAT). Naft are 3rd with 25 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Al Kahrabaa sit 18th on 11 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Naft's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Gharraf 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Kahrabaa's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Al-Jolan SC 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Naft arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 March 2026, finished Al Kahrabaa 1–2 Naft.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Naft and 0.5 for Al Kahrabaa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Naft 62%, draw 23%, Al Kahrabaa 15%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Naft to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Naft 1–0 Al Kahrabaa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naft62%fair 1.62 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.20
Al Kahrabaa15%fair 6.65 · @4.50
1.99Expected goals
1.46Naft xG
0.53Al Kahrabaa xG
36%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Naft 1.5 – 0.5 Al Kahrabaa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Naft to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Naft vs Al Kahrabaa?
On our numbers Naft have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al Kahrabaa 15%.
How many goals will there be in Naft vs Al Kahrabaa?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 36% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naft vs Al Kahrabaa?
Our predicted score is Naft 1–0 Al Kahrabaa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Naft vs Al Kahrabaa?
Naft vs Al Kahrabaa (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
