Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Al Karkh to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Karkh to win ✗44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.91
Al Karkh vs Gharraf preview and prediction
The match
Gharraf travel to face Al Karkh in the Iraqi League on Saturday 31 October (17:00 WAT). Al Karkh are 16th with 12 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Gharraf sit 13th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al Karkh's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Mosul 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Gharraf's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Naft 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Al Karkh and 1.0 for Gharraf. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Karkh 44%, draw 23%, Gharraf 33%.
Value angle: Al Karkh to win at 2.45 – 44% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Al Karkh 1–1 Gharraf. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Karkh44%fair 2.25 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.00
Gharraf33%fair 3.03 · @2.75
2.31Expected goals
1.27Al Karkh xG
1.04Gharraf xG
47%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Al Karkh 1.3 – 1.0 Gharraf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Karkh to win✗
44%
2.25
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Karkh / FT Al Karkh✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.91
–
Form
Al Karkh – last 6
DDLWWL
23 Oct
vs Mosul
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Al Shorta
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Al-Karma
2–3
L
17 Sep
vs Naft Maysan
3–2
W
13 Sep
vs Duhok
3–2
W
9 Sep
@ Al Talaba
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gharraf – last 6
DWDLLL
22 Oct
vs Naft
0–0
D
16 Oct
@ Karbala
2–1
W
9 Oct
vs Al-Jolan SC
0–0
D
17 Sep
@ Al Zawra'a
0–2
L
12 Sep
@ Diyala
1–3
L
8 Sep
vs Al Shorta
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Karkh and Gharraf.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Al Karkh vs Gharraf?
On our numbers Al Karkh have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gharraf 33%.
How many goals will there be in Al Karkh vs Gharraf?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Karkh vs Gharraf?
Our predicted score is Al Karkh 1–1 Gharraf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Al Karkh vs Gharraf?
Al Karkh vs Gharraf (Iraqi League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
