Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Newroz to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultZakho to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.06
Zakho vs Newroz preview and prediction
The match
Newroz travel to face Zakho in the Iraqi League on Friday 9 October (16:00 WAT). Zakho are 15th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Newroz sit 2nd on 26 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Zakho's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Al-Karma 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Newroz's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Ghaz Al Shamal 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Newroz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 May 2026, finished Newroz 2–1 Zakho.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Zakho and 1.1 for Newroz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zakho 39%, draw 24%, Newroz 37%.
Value angle: Newroz to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Zakho 1–1 Newroz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zakho39%fair 2.54 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.20
Newroz37%fair 2.72 · @2.90
2.21Expected goals
1.13Zakho xG
1.08Newroz xG
44%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Zakho 1.1 – 1.1 Newroz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Zakho vs Newroz?
On our numbers Zakho have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Newroz 37%.
How many goals will there be in Zakho vs Newroz?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zakho vs Newroz?
Our predicted score is Zakho 1–1 Newroz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Zakho vs Newroz?
Zakho vs Newroz (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
