Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Karma to win ✓65% · @1.30
Double chanceAl-Karma or draw ✓85% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.50
Al-Karma vs Al Karkh preview and prediction
The match
Al Karkh travel to face Al-Karma in the Iraqi League on Saturday 10 October (18:30 WAT). Al-Karma are 1st with 30 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Al Karkh sit 16th on 12 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Al-Karma's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Zakho 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Karkh's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Naft Maysan 3–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Al-Karma arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 April 2026, finished Al Karkh 0–0 Al-Karma.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Al-Karma and 0.8 for Al Karkh. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Karma 65%, draw 20%, Al Karkh 15%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al-Karma to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Al-Karma 1–0 Al Karkh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Karma65%fair 1.53 · @1.30
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @4.33
Al Karkh15%fair 6.60 · @8.50
2.66Expected goals
1.90Al-Karma xG
0.76Al Karkh xG
44%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Al-Karma 1.9 – 0.8 Al Karkh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Al-Karma to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Al-Karma vs Al Karkh?
On our numbers Al-Karma have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al Karkh 15%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Karma vs Al Karkh?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Karma vs Al Karkh?
Our predicted score is Al-Karma 1–0 Al Karkh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Al-Karma vs Al Karkh?
Al-Karma vs Al Karkh (Iraqi League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.