Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Karma to win ✓68% · @1.62
Double chanceAl-Karma or draw ✓90% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.35
Al-Karma vs Zakho preview and prediction
The match
Zakho travel to face Al-Karma in the Iraqi League on Saturday 19 September (19:00 WAT). Al-Karma are 1st with 30 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Zakho sit 15th on 13 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Al-Karma's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Erbil 2–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Zakho's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Mosul 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Al-Karma arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 March 2026, finished Zakho 2–2 Al-Karma.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Al-Karma and 0.6 for Zakho. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 44%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Karma 68%, draw 22%, Zakho 10%.
Safer route: Al-Karma or draw (90%) at 1.14.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al-Karma to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al-Karma 1–0 Zakho. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Karma68%fair 1.48 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.50
Zakho10%fair 9.72 · @4.75
2.48Expected goals
1.89Al-Karma xG
0.60Zakho xG
44%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Al-Karma 1.9 – 0.6 Zakho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Al-Karma to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Al-Karma vs Zakho?
On our numbers Al-Karma have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Zakho 10%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Karma vs Zakho?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Karma vs Zakho?
Our predicted score is Al-Karma 1–0 Zakho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Al-Karma vs Zakho?
Al-Karma vs Zakho (Iraqi League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
