Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.70
Erbil vs Diyala preview and prediction
The match
Erbil host Diyala in the Iraqi League on Tuesday 8 September, with kick-off at 16:45 (WAT) at Franso Hariri Stadium. Erbil are 7th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Diyala sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Erbil's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Al Shorta 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Diyala's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Al-Karma 1–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Erbil arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 March 2026, finished Erbil 2–0 Diyala.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Erbil and 0.6 for Diyala. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 42%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Erbil 70%, draw 20%, Diyala 10%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Erbil to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.48, above our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Erbil 1–0 Diyala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Erbil70%fair 1.44 · @1.48
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.75
Diyala10%fair 9.95 · @6.00
2.58Expected goals
1.98Erbil xG
0.61Diyala xG
42%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Erbil 2.0 – 0.6 Diyala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Erbil to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Erbil vs Diyala?
On our numbers Erbil have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Diyala 10%.
How many goals will there be in Erbil vs Diyala?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erbil vs Diyala?
Our predicted score is Erbil 1–0 Diyala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Erbil vs Diyala?
Erbil vs Diyala (Iraqi League) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Franso Hariri Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
