Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDuhok to win ✗63% · @1.65
Double chanceDuhok or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.42
Duhok vs Ghaz Al Shamal preview and prediction
The match
Ghaz Al Shamal travel to Duhok Stadium in the Iraqi League on Tuesday 8 September (16:45 WAT) to face Duhok. Duhok are 8th with 18 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Ghaz Al Shamal sit 10th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Duhok's last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Ghaz Al Shamal's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Al-Jolan SC 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Duhok and 0.6 for Ghaz Al Shamal. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Duhok 63%, draw 22%, Ghaz Al Shamal 15%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Duhok to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Duhok 1–0 Ghaz Al Shamal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Duhok63%fair 1.58 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.30
Ghaz Al Shamal15%fair 6.86 · @4.75
2.14Expected goals
1.57Duhok xG
0.57Ghaz Al Shamal xG
42%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Duhok 1.6 – 0.6 Ghaz Al Shamal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Duhok to win✗
63%
1.58
1.65
Double chance
Duhok or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Duhok / FT Duhok✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.42
–
Form
Duhok – last 6
WDDDDL
3 Sep
vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ Newroz
0–0
D
26 Aug
@ Naft
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Al Talaba
3–3
D
16 Aug
vs Gharraf
1–1
D
1 Jun
@ Diyala
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ghaz Al Shamal – last 5
LWDDL
4 Sep
vs Al-Jolan SC
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Gharraf
1–0
W
25 Aug
@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1–1
D
20 Aug
vs Al Kahrabaa
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Zakho
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Duhok and Ghaz Al Shamal.
What is the prediction for Duhok vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
Our pick is Duhok to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Duhok vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
On our numbers Duhok have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ghaz Al Shamal 15%.
How many goals will there be in Duhok vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Duhok vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
Our predicted score is Duhok 1–0 Ghaz Al Shamal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Duhok vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
Duhok vs Ghaz Al Shamal (Iraqi League) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Duhok Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
