Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Talaba to win ✓61% · @1.90
Double chanceAl Talaba or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗62% · fair 1.61
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.30
Al Talaba vs Al Karkh preview and prediction
The match
The Iraqi League sees Al Talaba take on Al Karkh on Wednesday 9 September, kicking off at 16:45 (WAT) at Al Talaba Stadium. Al Talaba are 11th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Al Karkh sit 16th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Al Talaba's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with Zakho 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Karkh's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Karbala 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Al Talaba arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 June 2026, finished Al Talaba 1–1 Al Karkh. Across their last 2 meetings Al Talaba have won 1, Al Karkh 0, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Al Talaba and 0.6 for Al Karkh. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Talaba 61%, draw 25%, Al Karkh 15%.
Safer route: Al Talaba or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Talaba to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Talaba 1–0 Al Karkh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Talaba61%fair 1.65 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.90
Al Karkh15%fair 6.89 · @4.10
2.08Expected goals
1.51Al Talaba xG
0.57Al Karkh xG
38%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Al Talaba 1.5 – 0.6 Al Karkh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Al Talaba to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Al Talaba vs Al Karkh?
On our numbers Al Talaba have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Karkh 15%.
How many goals will there be in Al Talaba vs Al Karkh?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Talaba vs Al Karkh?
Our predicted score is Al Talaba 1–0 Al Karkh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Al Talaba vs Al Karkh?
Al Talaba vs Al Karkh (Iraqi League) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Al Talaba Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.