Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Karma to win ✓66% · @1.67
Double chanceAl-Karma or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.05
Al-Karma vs Naft preview and prediction
The match
Al-Karma host Naft in the Iraqi League on Wednesday 9 September, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT). Al-Karma are 1st with 30 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Naft sit 3rd on 25 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Al-Karma's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Diyala 2–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Naft's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Al Minaa Basra 3–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 May 2026, finished Naft 0–0 Al-Karma.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Al-Karma and 0.5 for Naft. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Karma 66%, draw 21%, Naft 13%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al-Karma to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al-Karma 1–0 Naft. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Karma66%fair 1.52 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.20
Naft13%fair 7.67 · @5.00
2.08Expected goals
1.58Al-Karma xG
0.50Naft xG
40%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–016%
0–013%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Al-Karma 1.6 – 0.5 Naft expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Al-Karma to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Al-Karma vs Naft?
On our numbers Al-Karma have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Naft 13%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Karma vs Naft?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Karma vs Naft?
Our predicted score is Al-Karma 1–0 Naft, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Al-Karma vs Naft?
Al-Karma vs Naft (Iraqi League) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
