Value bet: Zakho to win @ 2.45 – our chance 47% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultZakho to win ✗47% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗64% · fair 1.56
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21% · fair 4.76
Al Minaa Basra vs Zakho preview and prediction
The match
Al Minaa Basra host Zakho in the Iraqi League on Thursday 20 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Al Minaa Basra are 9th with 17 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Zakho sit 15th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Al Minaa Basra's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with Al Shorta 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Zakho's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Ghaz Al Shamal 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Al Minaa Basra arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Al Minaa Basra 2–2 Zakho.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.4 goals: 0.5 for Al Minaa Basra and 0.8 for Zakho. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Minaa Basra 29%, draw 24%, Zakho 47%.
Value angle: Zakho to win at 2.45 – 47% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.38, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Minaa Basra 0–0 Zakho. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Minaa Basra29%fair 3.40 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.80
Zakho47%fair 2.14 · @2.45
1.38Expected goals
0.55Al Minaa Basra xG
0.83Zakho xG
36%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–025%
0–121%
1–014%
1–111%
0–29%
1–25%
From our goals model: Al Minaa Basra 0.5 – 0.8 Zakho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Al Minaa Basra vs Zakho?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Al Minaa Basra vs Zakho?
On our numbers Al Minaa Basra have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Zakho 47%.
How many goals will there be in Al Minaa Basra vs Zakho?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 36% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Minaa Basra vs Zakho?
Our predicted score is Al Minaa Basra 0–0 Zakho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Al Minaa Basra vs Zakho?
Al Minaa Basra vs Zakho (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
