Serie D Girone G · Italy

Sarrabus Ogliastra

LWLDL
2–0
FT

Paganese

DLLWD

Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Paganese prediction & analysis

57%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.76 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.76Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultPaganese to win ✗46% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.76
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.87

Win chances

Sarrabus Ogliastra32%fair 3.16 · @3.05
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.05
Paganese46%fair 2.18 · @2.20
2.70Expected goals
1.19Sarrabus Ogliastra xG
1.50Paganese xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Sarrabus Ogliastra 1.2 – 1.5 Paganese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Paganese shade it despite being away from home – 46% to win, against 32% for Sarrabus Ogliastra.

Sarrabus Ogliastra have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Paganese have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

We expect around 2.7 goals (1.2 for Sarrabus Ogliastra, 1.5 for Paganese). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%).

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.76 is close to our fair price of 1.76.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPaganese to win ✗46%2.182.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.31
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.76
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%2.001.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Paganese / FT Paganese ✗26%3.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%9.87–

Form

Sarrabus Ogliastra – last 6

LWLDLL
1 Nov@ Sarnese0–2L
25 Octvs Gelbison3–0W
18 Oct@ Trastevere2–3L
11 Octvs Afragolese0–0D
7 Oct@ Latte Dolce0–3L
4 Oct@ Latte Dolce0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Paganese – last 6

DLLWDL
1 Novvs Ossese1–1D
25 Oct@ Città di Anagni1–2L
18 Oct@ Venafro0–1L
11 Octvs Budoni3–0W
7 Octvs Real Normanna1–1D
4 Oct@ Sarnese1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sarrabus Ogliastra and Paganese.

More Serie D Girone G predictions

FT Albalonga0 Afragolese0 392437 GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.73 ✗ FT Anzio2 Gelbison0 462232 GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.65 ✗ FT Aranova0 Venafro1 602614 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.23 ✓ FT Certosa V. Campagnano1 Trastevere3 681913 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓ FT Città di Anagni1 Budoni2 562519 1XCittà di Anagni or draw 81%@1.24 ✗ FT Latte Dolce3 Unipomezia1 302248 GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.66 ✓ FT Monastir2 Sarnese5 362341 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.23 ✓ FT Atletico Lodigiani3 Ossese0 241661 2Ossese to win 61%@1.83 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Paganese?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.76.

Who will win Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Paganese?

On our numbers Sarrabus Ogliastra have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paganese 46%.

How many goals will there be in Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Paganese?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

When is Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Paganese?

Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Paganese (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.