Serie D Girone G · Italy
Albalonga
Afragolese
Albalonga vs Afragolese prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Afragolese to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Albalonga 1.3 – 1.2 Afragolese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Albalonga and Afragolese on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Albalonga have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Afragolese have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.3 for Albalonga, 1.2 for Afragolese). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 56% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is close to our fair price of 1.79. For a bigger price, Afragolese to win at 2.90 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Albalonga to win ✗ | 39% | 2.57 | 2.27 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.31 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.87 | 1.72 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Albalonga / FT Albalonga ✗ | 22% | 4.64 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.64 | – |
Form
Albalonga – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Latte Dolce | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Unipomezia | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Budoni | 4–2 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Certosa V. Campagnano | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Oct | @ Certosa V. Campagnano | 1–4 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Anzio | 0–2 | L |
Afragolese – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Aranova | 4–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Anzio | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Atletico Lodigiani | 4–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Sarrabus Ogliastra | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Ossese | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Città di Anagni | 0–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albalonga and Afragolese.
More Serie D Girone G predictions
Sarrabus Ogliastra2
Paganese0
GGBoth teams to score
57%@1.76
✗
FT
Anzio2
Gelbison0
GGBoth teams to score
58%@1.65
✗
FT
Aranova0
Venafro1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
74%@1.23
✓
FT
Certosa V. Campagnano1
Trastevere3
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
74%@1.25
✓
FT
Città di Anagni1
Budoni2
1XCittà di Anagni or draw
81%@1.24
✗
FT
Latte Dolce3
Unipomezia1
GGBoth teams to score
62%@1.66
✓
FT
Monastir2
Sarnese5
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
77%@1.23
✓
FT
Atletico Lodigiani3
Ossese0
2Ossese to win
61%@1.83
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Albalonga vs Afragolese?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Albalonga vs Afragolese?
On our numbers Albalonga have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Afragolese 37%.
How many goals will there be in Albalonga vs Afragolese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Albalonga vs Afragolese?
Albalonga vs Afragolese (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.