Serie D Girone G · Italy

Monastir

LDLWW
2–5
FT

Sarnese

WLWWW

Monastir vs Sarnese prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.23Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSarnese to win ✓41% · @2.46
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.64
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.53

Win chances

Monastir36%fair 2.76 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.26
Sarnese41%fair 2.45 · @2.46
3.05Expected goals
1.47Monastir xG
1.57Sarnese xG
64%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Monastir 1.5 – 1.6 Sarnese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Monastir and Sarnese on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Monastir have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 2.2 per game. Sarnese have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. Sarnese come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.0 goals (1.5 for Monastir, 1.6 for Sarnese). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.23 is close to our fair price of 1.30.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSarnese to win ✓41%2.452.46
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.23
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.64
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.23
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.82
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.501.30
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.54–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sarnese / FT Sarnese ✓24%4.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.53–

Form

Monastir – last 6

LDLWWD
1 Nov@ Unipomezia2–4L
24 Octvs Trastevere2–2D
18 Oct@ Certosa V. Campagnano2–3L
11 Octvs Latte Dolce2–1W
4 Oct@ Budoni5–1W
27 Sepvs Albalonga2–2D
2.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Sarnese – last 6

WLWWWD
1 Novvs Sarrabus Ogliastra2–0W
25 Oct@ Aranova1–2L
18 Octvs Città di Anagni1–0W
11 Oct@ Atletico Lodigiani1–0W
4 Octvs Paganese2–1W
27 Sep@ Ossese2–2D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Monastir and Sarnese.

More Serie D Girone G predictions

FT Sarrabus Ogliastra2 Paganese0 322246 GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.76 ✗ FT Albalonga0 Afragolese0 392437 GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.73 ✗ FT Anzio2 Gelbison0 462232 GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.65 ✗ FT Aranova0 Venafro1 602614 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.23 ✓ FT Certosa V. Campagnano1 Trastevere3 681913 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓ FT Città di Anagni1 Budoni2 562519 1XCittà di Anagni or draw 81%@1.24 ✗ FT Latte Dolce3 Unipomezia1 302248 GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.66 ✓ FT Atletico Lodigiani3 Ossese0 241661 2Ossese to win 61%@1.83 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Monastir vs Sarnese?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Monastir vs Sarnese?

On our numbers Monastir have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sarnese 41%.

How many goals will there be in Monastir vs Sarnese?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

When is Monastir vs Sarnese?

Monastir vs Sarnese (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.