Serie D Girone G · Italy

Aranova

LWWWL
0–1
FT

Venafro

DDWDW

Aranova vs Venafro prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.23Odds
1

Value bet: Aranova to win @ 1.78 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultAranova to win ✗60% · @1.78
Double chanceAranova or draw ✗86% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.00

Win chances

Aranova60%fair 1.67 · @1.78
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.10
Venafro14%fair 7.33 · @4.20
2.52Expected goals
1.77Aranova xG
0.75Venafro xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Aranova 1.8 – 0.7 Venafro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Aranova hold the edge on home soil with a 60% chance of winning, against 14% for Venafro.

Aranova have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.8 per game. Venafro have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.5 goals (1.8 for Aranova, 0.7 for Venafro). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.23 is close to our fair price of 1.34. For a bigger price, Aranova to win at 1.78 is our value angle (60% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAranova to win ✗60%1.671.78 ▲
Double chanceAranova or draw ✗86%1.161.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.831.87
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.431.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.341.23
Half-time resultAranova ahead at half-time ✗43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aranova / FT Aranova ✗39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.00–

Form

Aranova – last 6

LWWWLD
31 Oct@ Afragolese1–4L
25 Octvs Sarnese2–1W
18 Oct@ Unipomezia4–3W
11 Octvs Trastevere2–0W
4 Oct@ Certosa V. Campagnano1–2L
27 Sepvs Latte Dolce1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Venafro – last 6

DDWDWL
1 Novvs Città di Anagni1–1D
25 Oct@ Atletico Lodigiani1–1D
18 Octvs Paganese1–0W
11 Oct@ Ossese1–1D
4 Oct@ Gelbison1–0W
27 Sepvs Budoni2–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Aranova and Venafro.

More Serie D Girone G predictions

FT Sarrabus Ogliastra2 Paganese0 322246 GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.76 ✗ FT Albalonga0 Afragolese0 392437 GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.73 ✗ FT Anzio2 Gelbison0 462232 GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.65 ✗ FT Certosa V. Campagnano1 Trastevere3 681913 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓ FT Città di Anagni1 Budoni2 562519 1XCittà di Anagni or draw 81%@1.24 ✗ FT Latte Dolce3 Unipomezia1 302248 GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.66 ✓ FT Monastir2 Sarnese5 362341 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.23 ✓ FT Atletico Lodigiani3 Ossese0 241661 2Ossese to win 61%@1.83 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aranova vs Venafro?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Aranova vs Venafro?

On our numbers Aranova have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Venafro 14%.

How many goals will there be in Aranova vs Venafro?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

When is Aranova vs Venafro?

Aranova vs Venafro (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.