Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.03 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGelbison to win ✗66% · @1.54
Double chanceGelbison or draw ✓85% · fair 1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.03
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.77
Gelbison vs Atletico Lodigiani preview and prediction
The match
Gelbison host Atletico Lodigiani in the Serie D Girone G on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT). Gelbison are 16th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Atletico Lodigiani sit 18th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Gelbison's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Igea Virtus 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Atletico Lodigiani's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Venafro 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Gelbison arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Gelbison and 0.9 for Atletico Lodigiani. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 53% and both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.03 – 53% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Gelbison 2–0 Atletico Lodigiani. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gelbison66%fair 1.52 · @1.54
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.55
Atletico Lodigiani15%fair 6.71 · @6.22
2.95Expected goals
2.08Gelbison xG
0.86Atletico Lodigiani xG
53%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Gelbison 2.1 – 0.9 Atletico Lodigiani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gelbison to win✗
66%
1.52
1.54
Double chance
Gelbison or draw✓
85%
1.18
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
2.03 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.32
Half-time result
Gelbison ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gelbison / FT Gelbison✗
42%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.77
–
Form
Gelbison – last 6
LLWLDL
28 Oct
vs Igea Virtus
0–1
L
25 Oct
@ Sarrabus Ogliastra
0–3
L
18 Oct
vs Ossese
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Città di Anagni
1–3
L
7 Oct
@ Vigor Lamezia
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Venafro
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Atletico Lodigiani – last 6
DLLLLL
25 Oct
vs Venafro
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Afragolese
0–4
L
11 Oct
vs Sarnese
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ Unipomezia
1–3
L
27 Sep
vs Trastevere
2–3
L
20 Sep
@ Certosa V. Campagnano
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gelbison and Atletico Lodigiani.
What is the prediction for Gelbison vs Atletico Lodigiani?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Gelbison vs Atletico Lodigiani?
On our numbers Gelbison have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Atletico Lodigiani 15%.
How many goals will there be in Gelbison vs Atletico Lodigiani?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gelbison vs Atletico Lodigiani?
Our predicted score is Gelbison 2–0 Atletico Lodigiani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Gelbison vs Atletico Lodigiani?
Gelbison vs Atletico Lodigiani (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
