Serie D Girone F · Italy
Vigor Senigallia
Pietralunga
Vigor Senigallia vs Pietralunga prediction & analysis
Vigor Senigallia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.72 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Vigor Senigallia 1.9 – 0.7 Pietralunga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Vigor Senigallia are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 11% for Pietralunga.
Vigor Senigallia have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.7 per game. Pietralunga have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 0.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. Pietralunga come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.9 for Vigor Senigallia, 0.7 for Pietralunga). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Vigor Senigallia to win at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.72 is better than our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Vigor Senigallia to win ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.72 ▲ |
| Double chance | Vigor Senigallia or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.78 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.27 |
| Half-time result | Vigor Senigallia ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Vigor Senigallia / FT Vigor Senigallia ✗ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.23 | – |
Form
Vigor Senigallia – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Foligno Calcio | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Ancona | 0–5 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Santegidiese | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Atletico Ascoli | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Teramo | 4–6 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Fossombrone | 0–0 | D |
Pietralunga – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Fossombrone | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Oct | @ Real Giulianova | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Sporting Trestina | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Angelana | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs L'Aquila | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Notaresco | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vigor Senigallia and Pietralunga.
More Serie D Girone F predictions
Angelana2
Notaresco0
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
77%@1.22
✓
FT
Atletico Ascoli1
Teramo1
GGBoth teams to score
62%@1.68
✓
FT
Real Giulianova2
Recanatese0
1Real Giulianova to win
61%@1.67
✓
FT
Lanciano FC1
Maceratese1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
75%@1.26
✓
FT
L'Aquila1
Montecchio Gallo1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
73%@1.26
✓
FT
Termoli Calcio1
Ancona1
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
58%@1.65
✓
FT
Sporting Trestina1
Foligno Calcio1
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
56%@1.67
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Vigor Senigallia vs Pietralunga?
Our pick is Vigor Senigallia to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.72.
Who will win Vigor Senigallia vs Pietralunga?
On our numbers Vigor Senigallia have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pietralunga 11%.
How many goals will there be in Vigor Senigallia vs Pietralunga?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Vigor Senigallia vs Pietralunga?
Vigor Senigallia vs Pietralunga (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.