Serie D Girone F · Italy

Termoli Calcio

DDLWL
1–1
FT

Ancona

WDWLW

Termoli Calcio vs Ancona prediction & analysis

58%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.65Odds
1

Value bet: Termoli Calcio to win @ 3.50 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultAncona to win ✗47% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.21

Win chances

Termoli Calcio31%fair 3.24 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
Ancona47%fair 2.13 · @1.98
2.21Expected goals
0.94Termoli Calcio xG
1.27Ancona xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Termoli Calcio 0.9 – 1.3 Ancona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Ancona shade it despite being away from home – 47% to win, against 31% for Termoli Calcio.

Termoli Calcio have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Ancona have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.2 goals (0.9 for Termoli Calcio, 1.3 for Ancona). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (11%).

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is close to our fair price of 1.71. For a bigger price, Termoli Calcio to win at 3.50 is our value angle (31% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAncona to win ✗47%2.131.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.85
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.711.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ancona / FT Ancona ✗25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.21–

Form

Termoli Calcio – last 6

DDLWLW
1 Nov@ Santegidiese0–0D
25 Octvs Atletico Ascoli0–0D
18 Oct@ Teramo0–1L
11 Oct@ Fossombrone2–1W
7 Oct@ L'Aquila2–5L
4 Octvs Lanciano FC2–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ancona – last 6

WDWLWD
1 Novvs Atletico Ascoli1–0W
28 Oct@ Robur Siena2–2D
25 Oct@ Vigor Senigallia5–0W
18 Octvs Fossombrone2–3L
11 Oct@ Real Giulianova2–0W
7 Octvs Fossombrone1–1D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Termoli Calcio and Ancona.

More Serie D Girone F predictions

FT Angelana2 Notaresco0 202357 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓ FT Atletico Ascoli1 Teramo1 332245 GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.68 ✓ FT Real Giulianova2 Recanatese0 612019 1Real Giulianova to win 61%@1.67 ✓ FT Lanciano FC1 Maceratese1 422434 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.26 ✓ FT L'Aquila1 Montecchio Gallo1 691813 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.26 ✓ FT Sporting Trestina1 Foligno Calcio1 332245 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 56%@1.67 ✓ FT Vigor Senigallia2 Pietralunga1 662311 1Vigor Senigallia to win 66%@1.72 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Termoli Calcio vs Ancona?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Termoli Calcio vs Ancona?

On our numbers Termoli Calcio have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ancona 47%.

How many goals will there be in Termoli Calcio vs Ancona?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

When is Termoli Calcio vs Ancona?

Termoli Calcio vs Ancona (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.