Serie D Girone F · Italy

Sporting Trestina

WWLLL
1–1
FT

Foligno Calcio

WLLWW

Sporting Trestina vs Foligno Calcio prediction & analysis

56%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.67Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultFoligno Calcio to win ✗45% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.32

Win chances

Sporting Trestina33%fair 3.04 · @2.92
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.05
Foligno Calcio45%fair 2.24 · @2.30
2.40Expected goals
1.08Sporting Trestina xG
1.32Foligno Calcio xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%

From our goals model: Sporting Trestina 1.1 – 1.3 Foligno Calcio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Foligno Calcio shade it despite being away from home – 45% to win, against 33% for Sporting Trestina.

Sporting Trestina have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Foligno Calcio have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.4 goals (1.1 for Sporting Trestina, 1.3 for Foligno Calcio). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%).

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 56% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is close to our fair price of 1.79.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFoligno Calcio to win ✗45%2.242.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.291.31
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.931.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Foligno Calcio / FT Foligno Calcio ✗24%4.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12%8.32–

Form

Sporting Trestina – last 6

WWLLLW
1 Nov@ Recanatese1–0W
25 Octvs Santegidiese2–1W
18 Oct@ Pietralunga0–2L
11 Octvs Teramo0–2L
4 Oct@ Ancona0–2L
27 Sepvs Termoli Calcio2–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Foligno Calcio – last 6

WLLWWD
1 Novvs Vigor Senigallia3–1W
25 Oct@ L'Aquila2–3L
18 Octvs Real Giulianova0–1L
11 Oct@ Maceratese2–0W
4 Octvs Angelana1–0W
27 Sep@ Montecchio Gallo1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sporting Trestina and Foligno Calcio.

More Serie D Girone F predictions

FT Angelana2 Notaresco0 202357 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓ FT Atletico Ascoli1 Teramo1 332245 GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.68 ✓ FT Real Giulianova2 Recanatese0 612019 1Real Giulianova to win 61%@1.67 ✓ FT Lanciano FC1 Maceratese1 422434 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.26 ✓ FT L'Aquila1 Montecchio Gallo1 691813 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.26 ✓ FT Termoli Calcio1 Ancona1 312247 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 58%@1.65 ✓ FT Vigor Senigallia2 Pietralunga1 662311 1Vigor Senigallia to win 66%@1.72 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting Trestina vs Foligno Calcio?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Sporting Trestina vs Foligno Calcio?

On our numbers Sporting Trestina have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Foligno Calcio 45%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting Trestina vs Foligno Calcio?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

When is Sporting Trestina vs Foligno Calcio?

Sporting Trestina vs Foligno Calcio (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.