Serie D Girone F · Italy
L'Aquila
Montecchio Gallo
L'Aquila vs Montecchio Gallo prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.26 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: L'Aquila 1.9 – 0.6 Montecchio Gallo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
L'Aquila are clear favourites at home with a 69% chance of winning, against 13% for Montecchio Gallo.
L'Aquila have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 2.2 per game. Montecchio Gallo have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. L'Aquila come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.9 for L'Aquila, 0.6 for Montecchio Gallo). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (9%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.26 is close to our fair price of 1.37.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | L'Aquila to win ✗ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.37 |
| Double chance | L'Aquila or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.14 | 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.94 | 1.64 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.26 |
| Half-time result | L'Aquila ahead at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.10 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT L'Aquila / FT L'Aquila ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.77 | – |
Form
L'Aquila – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Notaresco | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Oct | @ Real Normanna | 0–6 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Foligno Calcio | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Recanatese | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Santegidiese | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Oct | vs Termoli Calcio | 5–2 | W |
Montecchio Gallo – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Real Giulianova | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Maceratese | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs Angelana | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Lanciano FC | 1–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Notaresco | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Foligno Calcio | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between L'Aquila and Montecchio Gallo.
More Serie D Girone F predictions
Angelana2
Notaresco0
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
77%@1.22
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FT
Atletico Ascoli1
Teramo1
GGBoth teams to score
62%@1.68
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Real Giulianova2
Recanatese0
1Real Giulianova to win
61%@1.67
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FT
Lanciano FC1
Maceratese1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
75%@1.26
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FT
Termoli Calcio1
Ancona1
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
58%@1.65
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Sporting Trestina1
Foligno Calcio1
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
56%@1.67
✓
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Vigor Senigallia2
Pietralunga1
1Vigor Senigallia to win
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✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for L'Aquila vs Montecchio Gallo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win L'Aquila vs Montecchio Gallo?
On our numbers L'Aquila have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Montecchio Gallo 13%.
How many goals will there be in L'Aquila vs Montecchio Gallo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is L'Aquila vs Montecchio Gallo?
L'Aquila vs Montecchio Gallo (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.