Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.13 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultL'Aquila to win ✓63% · @1.55
Double chanceL'Aquila or draw ✓86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.13
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.65
L'Aquila vs Foligno Calcio preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone F sees L'Aquila take on Foligno Calcio on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT). L'Aquila are 2nd with 25 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Foligno Calcio sit 4th on 20 points (in the top four).
Form guide
L'Aquila's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Recanatese 3–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Foligno Calcio's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Real Giulianova 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
L'Aquila arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for L'Aquila and 0.7 for Foligno Calcio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: L'Aquila 63%, draw 23%, Foligno Calcio 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.13.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.13 – 53% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: L'Aquila 1–0 Foligno Calcio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
L'Aquila63%fair 1.58 · @1.55
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.65
Foligno Calcio14%fair 7.12 · @5.82
2.47Expected goals
1.78L'Aquila xG
0.69Foligno Calcio xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: L'Aquila 1.8 – 0.7 Foligno Calcio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
L'Aquila to win✓
63%
1.58
1.55
Double chance
L'Aquila or draw✓
86%
1.16
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.13 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
L'Aquila ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT L'Aquila / FT L'Aquila✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.65
–
Form
L'Aquila – last 6
WWWWWD
18 Oct
@ Recanatese
3–2
W
11 Oct
vs Santegidiese
2–1
W
7 Oct
vs Termoli Calcio
5–2
W
4 Oct
@ Pietralunga
3–0
W
27 Sep
vs Teramo
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Ancona
2–2
D
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Foligno Calcio – last 6
LWWDWL
18 Oct
vs Real Giulianova
0–1
L
11 Oct
@ Maceratese
2–0
W
4 Oct
vs Angelana
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Montecchio Gallo
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Notaresco
1–0
W
16 Sep
@ Recanatese
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between L'Aquila and Foligno Calcio.
What is the prediction for L'Aquila vs Foligno Calcio?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win L'Aquila vs Foligno Calcio?
On our numbers L'Aquila have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Foligno Calcio 14%.
How many goals will there be in L'Aquila vs Foligno Calcio?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for L'Aquila vs Foligno Calcio?
Our predicted score is L'Aquila 1–0 Foligno Calcio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is L'Aquila vs Foligno Calcio?
L'Aquila vs Foligno Calcio (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
