Serie D Girone F · ItalyTermoli Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Termoli Calcio 1.2 – 1.1 Atletico Ascoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Termoli Calcio hold the edge on home soil with a 41% chance of winning, against 34% for Atletico Ascoli.
Termoli Calcio have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 per game. Atletico Ascoli have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. Atletico Ascoli come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.2 for Termoli Calcio, 1.1 for Atletico Ascoli). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.23 is close to our fair price of 1.30.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Termoli Calcio to win ✗ | 41% | 2.44 | 2.55 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.88 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.48 | 1.34 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.63 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.23 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Termoli Calcio / FT Termoli Calcio ✗ | 23% | 4.42 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.20 | – |
Form
Termoli Calcio – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Teramo | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Fossombrone | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Oct | @ L'Aquila | 2–5 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Lanciano FC | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Sporting Trestina | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Vigor Senigallia | 1–2 | L |
Atletico Ascoli – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Lanciano FC | 5–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Vigor Senigallia | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Fossombrone | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Real Giulianova | 2–4 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Sporting Trestina | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ L'Aquila | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Termoli Calcio and Atletico Ascoli.
Serie D Girone F table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Teramo | 11 | +13 | 26 |
| 2 |  L'Aquila | 11 | +13 | 25 |
| 3 |  Ancona | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 |  Foligno Calcio | 11 | +3 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vigor Senigallia | 11 | -1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Fossombrone | 11 | -2 | 17 |
| 7 |  Montecchio Gallo | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 |  Notaresco | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real Giulianova | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 |  Atletico Ascoli | 11 | +2 | 15 |
| 11 |  Termoli Calcio | 11 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 |  Lanciano FC | 11 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Maceratese | 11 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 |  Sporting Trestina | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 |  Recanatese | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 |  Pietralunga | 11 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 |  Santegidiese | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  Angelana | 11 | -9 | 7 |
More Serie D Girone F predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Termoli Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Termoli Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli?
On our numbers Termoli Calcio have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atletico Ascoli 34%.
How many goals will there be in Termoli Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Termoli Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli?
Termoli Calcio vs Atletico Ascoli (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.