Sporting Trestina vs Termoli Calcio prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Termoli Calcio to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTermoli Calcio to win ✗41% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.94
Sporting Trestina vs Termoli Calcio preview and prediction
The match
Termoli Calcio travel to face Sporting Trestina in the Serie D Girone F on Sunday 27 September (14:00 WAT). Sporting Trestina are 14th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Termoli Calcio sit 11th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sporting Trestina's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Atletico Ascoli 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Termoli Calcio's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Vigor Senigallia 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Termoli Calcio arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Sporting Trestina and 1.1 for Termoli Calcio. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting Trestina 34%, draw 25%, Termoli Calcio 41%.
Value angle: Termoli Calcio to win at 2.90 – 41% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Sporting Trestina 0–1 Termoli Calcio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Trestina34%fair 2.92 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Termoli Calcio41%fair 2.43 · @2.90
2.00Expected goals
0.94Sporting Trestina xG
1.07Termoli Calcio xG
43%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–014%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sporting Trestina 0.9 – 1.1 Termoli Calcio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Termoli Calcio to win✗
41%
2.43
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.94
–
Form
Sporting Trestina – last 6
LLDLLD
20 Sep
@ Atletico Ascoli
0–1
L
16 Sep
vs Fossombrone
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Lanciano FC
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Vigor Senigallia
2–5
L
29 Jul
@ Gubbio
0–2
L
3 May
@ Robur Siena
4–4
D
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Termoli Calcio – last 6
LDWLDL
20 Sep
vs Vigor Senigallia
1–2
L
16 Sep
@ Real Giulianova
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Angelana
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ L'Aquila
0–1
L
3 May
vs L'Aquila
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Ostia Mare
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Trestina and Termoli Calcio.
What is the prediction for Sporting Trestina vs Termoli Calcio?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Sporting Trestina vs Termoli Calcio?
On our numbers Sporting Trestina have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Termoli Calcio 41%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Trestina vs Termoli Calcio?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Trestina vs Termoli Calcio?
Our predicted score is Sporting Trestina 0–1 Termoli Calcio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sporting Trestina vs Termoli Calcio?
Sporting Trestina vs Termoli Calcio (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
