Serie D Girone H · ItalyFidelis Andria vs Francavilla prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Fidelis Andria 1.7 – 0.7 Francavilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Fidelis Andria are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 16% for Francavilla.
Fidelis Andria have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8 per game. Francavilla have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. Fidelis Andria come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 for Fidelis Andria, 0.7 for Francavilla). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Fidelis Andria have won 0, Francavilla have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.35.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Fidelis Andria to win ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.59 |
| Double chance | Fidelis Andria or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | 2.07 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.42 | 1.29 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.76 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Fidelis Andria ahead at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.30 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Fidelis Andria / FT Fidelis Andria ✓ | 39% | 2.58 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.66 | – |
Form
Fidelis Andria – last 6
| 28 Oct | vs Virtus Francavilla | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | @ Nardò | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Virtus Francavilla | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Real Normanna | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Oct | vs Bisceglie | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Real Forio 2014 | 2–1 | W |
Francavilla – last 6
| 25 Oct | vs Real Forio 2014 | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Gravina | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Gladiator | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Martina Franca | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Brindisi | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Melfi | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 2 Apr 2026 | Fidelis Andria v Francavilla | 0–0 |
Serie D Girone H table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Virtus Francavilla | 11 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Martina Franca | 11 | +9 | 22 |
| 3 |  Brindisi | 11 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 |  Gravina | 11 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 |  Turris | 11 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Manfredonia | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Gladiator | 11 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Fidelis Andria | 11 | +1 | 17 |
| 9 |  Bisceglie | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  USD Palmese | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Real Normanna | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Nocerina | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Real Forio 2014 | 11 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 |  Melfi | 11 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 |  Ebolitana | 11 | -8 | 10 |
| 16 |  Ischia | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Francavilla | 11 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 |  Nardò | 11 | -9 | 7 |
More Serie D Girone H predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Fidelis Andria vs Francavilla?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Fidelis Andria vs Francavilla?
On our numbers Fidelis Andria have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Francavilla 16%.
How many goals will there be in Fidelis Andria vs Francavilla?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Fidelis Andria vs Francavilla?
Fidelis Andria vs Francavilla (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.