Serie D Girone H · Italy · Franco FanuzziBrindisi vs Ebolitana prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.32 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Brindisi 1.7 – 0.8 Ebolitana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Brindisi are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 20% for Ebolitana.
Brindisi have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.3 per game. Ebolitana have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.7 conceded. Brindisi come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 for Brindisi, 0.8 for Ebolitana). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 72% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.32 is close to our fair price of 1.39.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Brindisi to win ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.69 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.90 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.38 | 1.26 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.87 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.32 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Brindisi / FT Brindisi ✓ | 37% | 2.73 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.36 | – |
Form
Brindisi – last 6
| 25 Oct | @ Bisceglie | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Nardò | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Nocerina | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Real Normanna | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Francavilla | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Turris | 1–2 | L |
Ebolitana – last 6
| 25 Oct | vs Gravina | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ USD Palmese | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Martina Franca | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Ischia | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Melfi | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Manfredonia | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brindisi and Ebolitana.
Serie D Girone H table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Virtus Francavilla | 11 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Martina Franca | 11 | +9 | 22 |
| 3 |  Brindisi | 11 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 |  Gravina | 11 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 |  Turris | 11 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Manfredonia | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Gladiator | 11 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Fidelis Andria | 11 | +1 | 17 |
| 9 |  Bisceglie | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  USD Palmese | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Real Normanna | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Nocerina | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Real Forio 2014 | 11 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 |  Melfi | 11 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 |  Ebolitana | 11 | -8 | 10 |
| 16 |  Ischia | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Francavilla | 11 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 |  Nardò | 11 | -9 | 7 |
More Serie D Girone H predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Brindisi vs Ebolitana?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Brindisi vs Ebolitana?
On our numbers Brindisi have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ebolitana 20%.
How many goals will there be in Brindisi vs Ebolitana?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Brindisi vs Ebolitana?
Brindisi vs Ebolitana (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Franco Fanuzzi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.