Serie D Girone D · Italy
Lentigione
Arconatese
Lentigione vs Arconatese prediction & analysis
Lentigione to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.34 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.04 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Lentigione 2.0 – 0.9 Arconatese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Lentigione are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 19% for Arconatese.
Lentigione have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. Arconatese have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded. Lentigione come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.0 for Lentigione, 0.9 for Arconatese). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–0 (11%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Lentigione to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.34 is close to our fair price of 1.56. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.04 is our value angle (53% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Lentigione to win ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.34 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | 2.04 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Half-time result | Lentigione ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Lentigione / FT Lentigione ✗ | 39% | 2.53 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.23 | – |
Form
Lentigione – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Sant'Angelo | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Crema | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Solbiatese | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Pontedera | 2–0 | W |
| 7 Oct | vs Piacenza | 1–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Oltrepò | 2–1 | W |
Arconatese – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Pontedera | 3–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | @ Coriano | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Città di Varese | 1–5 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Castellanzese | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Pro Sesto | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ Pavia | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lentigione and Arconatese.
More Serie D Girone D predictions
Castellanzese0
USD Casatese1
GGBoth teams to score
60%@1.69
✗
FT
Cittadella Vis Modena2
Pavia1
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
62%@1.57
✗
FT
Oltrepò0
Crema3
GGBoth teams to score
60%@1.70
✗
FT
Pro Patria0
Pistoiese0
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
56%@1.62
✓
FT
Pro Sesto4
Correggese2
1Pro Sesto to win
60%@1.72
✓
FT
Coriano2
Varesina1
GGBoth teams to score
58%@1.71
✓
FT
Città di Varese2
Sant'Angelo2
GGBoth teams to score
59%@1.77
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lentigione vs Arconatese?
Our pick is Lentigione to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Lentigione vs Arconatese?
On our numbers Lentigione have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Arconatese 19%.
How many goals will there be in Lentigione vs Arconatese?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Lentigione vs Arconatese?
Lentigione vs Arconatese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.