Serie D Girone D · Italy

Cittadella Vis Modena

LWDLL
2–1
FT

Pavia

WWLDL

Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia prediction & analysis

62%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultCittadella Vis Modena to win ✓46% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.68

Win chances

Cittadella Vis Modena46%fair 2.18 · @2.12
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.05
Pavia32%fair 3.15 · @3.20
2.05Expected goals
1.16Cittadella Vis Modena xG
0.89Pavia xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Cittadella Vis Modena 1.2 – 0.9 Pavia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Cittadella Vis Modena hold the edge on home soil with a 46% chance of winning, against 32% for Pavia.

Cittadella Vis Modena have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. Pavia have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.

We expect around 2.0 goals (1.2 for Cittadella Vis Modena, 0.9 for Pavia). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (13%).

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.61.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCittadella Vis Modena to win ✓46%2.182.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.31
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%2.001.99
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62%1.611.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cittadella Vis Modena / FT Cittadella Vis Modena ✓24%4.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.68–

Form

Cittadella Vis Modena – last 6

LWDLLW
1 Nov@ Crema1–2L
25 Octvs Pistoiese2–1W
18 Oct@ Oltrepò0–0D
11 Octvs USD Casatese0–1L
7 Oct@ Sasso Marconi Zola0–1L
4 Oct@ Pontedera3–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Pavia – last 6

WWLDLL
1 Novvs Pro Patria1–0W
25 Octvs USD Casatese3–1W
18 Oct@ Pistoiese0–1L
11 Octvs Varesina2–2D
7 Octvs Sant'Angelo1–3L
4 Oct@ Correggese1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cittadella Vis Modena and Pavia.

More Serie D Girone D predictions

FT Castellanzese0 USD Casatese1 402436 GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.69 ✗ FT Lentigione2 Arconatese1 641719 1Lentigione to win 64%@1.34 ✓ FT Oltrepò0 Crema3 282250 GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.70 ✗ FT Pro Patria0 Pistoiese0 312543 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 56%@1.62 ✓ FT Pro Sesto4 Correggese2 602219 1Pro Sesto to win 60%@1.72 ✓ FT Coriano2 Varesina1 312247 GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.71 ✓ FT Città di Varese2 Sant'Angelo2 462232 GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.77 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia?

On our numbers Cittadella Vis Modena have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pavia 32%.

How many goals will there be in Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

When is Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia?

Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.