Serie D Girone D · Italy
Castellanzese
USD Casatese
Castellanzese vs USD Casatese prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.69 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Castellanzese 1.4 – 1.3 USD Casatese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Castellanzese and USD Casatese on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Castellanzese have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. USD Casatese have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded. Castellanzese come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.4 for Castellanzese, 1.3 for USD Casatese). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Castellanzese have won 0, USD Casatese have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.69 is close to our fair price of 1.66.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Castellanzese to win ✗ | 40% | 2.49 | 2.37 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.69 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.82 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.40 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Castellanzese / FT Castellanzese ✗ | 23% | 4.34 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 9% | 11.09 | – |
Form
Castellanzese – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Pistoiese | 2–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Varesina | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Correggese | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Arconatese | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Sant'Angelo | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Crema | 4–0 | W |
USD Casatese – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Pro Sesto | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Pavia | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Pro Patria | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Cittadella Vis Modena | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Pistoiese | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Varesina | 4–2 | W |
Head to head
| 2 Apr 2026 | USD Casatese v Castellanzese | 1–0 |
More Serie D Girone D predictions
Cittadella Vis Modena2
Pavia1
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
62%@1.57
✗
FT
Lentigione2
Arconatese1
1Lentigione to win
64%@1.34
✓
FT
Oltrepò0
Crema3
GGBoth teams to score
60%@1.70
✗
FT
Pro Patria0
Pistoiese0
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
56%@1.62
✓
FT
Pro Sesto4
Correggese2
1Pro Sesto to win
60%@1.72
✓
FT
Coriano2
Varesina1
GGBoth teams to score
58%@1.71
✓
FT
Città di Varese2
Sant'Angelo2
GGBoth teams to score
59%@1.77
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Castellanzese vs USD Casatese?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.69.
Who will win Castellanzese vs USD Casatese?
On our numbers Castellanzese have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and USD Casatese 36%.
How many goals will there be in Castellanzese vs USD Casatese?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Castellanzese vs USD Casatese?
Castellanzese vs USD Casatese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.