Serie D Girone I · Italy
Modica
Licata
Modica vs Licata prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
Value bet: Licata to win @ 3.05 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Modica 1.2 – 1.1 Licata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Modica and Licata on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Modica have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. Licata have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.2 for Modica, 1.1 for Licata). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Modica have won 1, Licata have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.48. For a bigger price, Licata to win at 3.05 is our value angle (36% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Modica to win ✓ | 40% | 2.50 | 2.19 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.90 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.16 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Modica / FT Modica ✓ | 22% | 4.56 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.77 | – |
Form
Modica – last 6
| 4 Nov | vs AC Palermo | 2–0 | W |
| 1 Nov | vs Gela | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Oct | vs Licata | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Milazzo | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Digiesse PraiaTortora | 1–5 | L |
| 7 Oct | @ Calcio Avola | 4–0 | W |
Licata – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Digiesse PraiaTortora | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Oct | @ Modica | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | @ Gela | 0–4 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Siracusa | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ AC Palermo | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Oct | @ Trapani 1905 | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 28 Oct 2026 | Modica v Licata | 1–0 |
More Serie D Girone I predictions
AC Palermo1
Igea Virtus2
GGBoth teams to score
63%@1.58
✓
FT
CastrumFavara1
Vibonese2
2Vibonese to win
63%@1.65
✓
FT
Enna0
Reggina3
GGBoth teams to score
55%@2.03
✗
FT
Milazzo3
Vigor Lamezia1
GGBoth teams to score
58%@1.69
✓
FT
Sambiase2
Ragusa0
1Sambiase to win
67%@1.36
✓
FT
Siracusa1
Nissa0
GGBoth teams to score
59%@1.68
✗
FT
Digiesse PraiaTortora0
Trapani 19052
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
67%@1.36
✓
FT
Gela2
Calcio Avola1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
75%@1.23
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Modica vs Licata?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Modica vs Licata?
On our numbers Modica have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Licata 36%.
How many goals will there be in Modica vs Licata?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Modica vs Licata?
Modica vs Licata (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.