Serie D Girone I · Italy

Gela

WWDDD
2–1
FT

Calcio Avola

WLDWL

Gela vs Calcio Avola prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.23Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultGela to win ✓40% · @2.61
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.33

Win chances

Gela40%fair 2.47 · @2.61
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.08
Calcio Avola35%fair 2.83 · @2.41
2.50Expected goals
1.30Gela xG
1.19Calcio Avola xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%

From our goals model: Gela 1.3 – 1.2 Calcio Avola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Gela and Calcio Avola on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Gela have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.5 per game. Calcio Avola have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.

We expect around 2.5 goals (1.3 for Gela, 1.2 for Calcio Avola). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (10%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.23 is close to our fair price of 1.34.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGela to win ✓40%2.472.61 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.26
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.72
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.23
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gela / FT Gela ✗23%4.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%9.33–

Form

Gela – last 6

WWDDDL
1 Nov@ Modica1–0W
25 Octvs Licata4–0W
18 Oct@ Vibonese1–1D
11 Octvs Milazzo1–1D
4 Octvs AC Palermo0–0D
27 Sep@ Digiesse PraiaTortora0–1L
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Calcio Avola – last 6

WLDWLW
1 Novvs Siracusa4–2W
25 Oct@ AC Palermo0–1L
18 Octvs Sambiase1–1D
11 Oct@ Enna2–0W
7 Octvs Modica0–4L
4 Octvs Ragusa1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gela and Calcio Avola.

More Serie D Girone I predictions

FT AC Palermo1 Igea Virtus2 412336 GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.58 ✓ FT CastrumFavara1 Vibonese2 181963 2Vibonese to win 63%@1.65 ✓ FT Enna0 Reggina3 121573 GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.03 ✗ FT Milazzo3 Vigor Lamezia1 492229 GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.69 ✓ FT Sambiase2 Ragusa0 672310 1Sambiase to win 67%@1.36 ✓ FT Siracusa1 Nissa0 442234 GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.68 ✗ FT Digiesse PraiaTortora0 Trapani 19052 432235 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.36 ✓ FT Modica5 Licata1 402436 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.36 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gela vs Calcio Avola?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Gela vs Calcio Avola?

On our numbers Gela have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Calcio Avola 35%.

How many goals will there be in Gela vs Calcio Avola?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

When is Gela vs Calcio Avola?

Gela vs Calcio Avola (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.