Serie D Girone I · Italy

CastrumFavara

LDLWL
1–2
FT

Vibonese

WWDDW

CastrumFavara vs Vibonese prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

Vibonese to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.65Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultVibonese to win ✓63% · @1.65
Double chanceVibonese or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.73

Win chances

CastrumFavara18%fair 5.60 · @4.30
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @3.65
Vibonese63%fair 1.58 · @1.65
2.83Expected goals
0.89CastrumFavara xG
1.94Vibonese xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%

From our goals model: CastrumFavara 0.9 – 1.9 Vibonese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Vibonese travel as clear favourites – 63% to win, against 18% for CastrumFavara.

CastrumFavara have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.2 per game. Vibonese have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. Vibonese come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.8 goals (0.9 for CastrumFavara, 1.9 for Vibonese). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (11%), 0–2 (11%), 1–1 (10%).

Our pick is Vibonese to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is better than our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVibonese to win ✓63%1.581.65
Double chanceVibonese or draw ✓82%1.221.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%2.001.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.78
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.46–
Half-time resultVibonese ahead at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vibonese / FT Vibonese ✗39%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%8.73–

Form

CastrumFavara – last 6

LDLWLL
1 Nov@ Nissa1–5L
28 Octvs Reggina2–2D
18 Oct@ Trapani 19050–1L
11 Octvs Igea Virtus3–2W
4 Oct@ Vigor Lamezia0–2L
27 Sepvs Calcio Avola0–1L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Vibonese – last 6

WWDDWW
1 Novvs Milazzo2–1W
25 Oct@ Ragusa3–1W
18 Octvs Gela1–1D
11 Oct@ Reggina1–1D
4 Octvs Digiesse PraiaTortora2–0W
27 Sep@ Nissa2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between CastrumFavara and Vibonese.

More Serie D Girone I predictions

FT AC Palermo1 Igea Virtus2 412336 GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.58 ✓ FT Enna0 Reggina3 121573 GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.03 ✗ FT Milazzo3 Vigor Lamezia1 492229 GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.69 ✓ FT Sambiase2 Ragusa0 672310 1Sambiase to win 67%@1.36 ✓ FT Siracusa1 Nissa0 442234 GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.68 ✗ FT Digiesse PraiaTortora0 Trapani 19052 432235 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.36 ✓ FT Gela2 Calcio Avola1 402435 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.23 ✓ FT Modica5 Licata1 402436 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.36 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CastrumFavara vs Vibonese?

Our pick is Vibonese to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win CastrumFavara vs Vibonese?

On our numbers CastrumFavara have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Vibonese 63%.

How many goals will there be in CastrumFavara vs Vibonese?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

When is CastrumFavara vs Vibonese?

CastrumFavara vs Vibonese (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.