Serie D Girone I · Italy

Milazzo

LWWDW
3–1
FT

Vigor Lamezia

LLWLD

Milazzo vs Vigor Lamezia prediction & analysis

58%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.69 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.69Odds
1

Value bet: Milazzo to win @ 2.15 – our chance 49% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultMilazzo to win ✓49% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.52

Win chances

Milazzo49%fair 2.02 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.15
Vigor Lamezia29%fair 3.50 · @3.05
2.54Expected goals
1.49Milazzo xG
1.05Vigor Lamezia xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Milazzo 1.5 – 1.0 Vigor Lamezia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Milazzo hold the edge on home soil with a 49% chance of winning, against 29% for Vigor Lamezia.

Milazzo have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Vigor Lamezia have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

We expect around 2.5 goals (1.5 for Milazzo, 1.0 for Vigor Lamezia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (12%), 2–1 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Milazzo have won 0, Vigor Lamezia have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.69 is close to our fair price of 1.72. For a bigger price, Milazzo to win at 2.15 is our value angle (49% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMilazzo to win ✓49%2.022.15 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.69
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.871.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.34–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Milazzo / FT Milazzo ✗28%3.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.52–

Form

Milazzo – last 6

LWWDWL
1 Nov@ Vibonese1–2L
25 Octvs Modica1–0W
18 Octvs Digiesse PraiaTortora3–1W
11 Oct@ Gela1–1D
4 Octvs Siracusa1–0W
27 Sep@ AC Palermo0–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Vigor Lamezia – last 6

LLWLDW
1 Novvs AC Palermo0–1L
25 Oct@ Digiesse PraiaTortora0–1L
18 Octvs Enna3–0W
11 Oct@ Siracusa0–3L
7 Octvs Gelbison2–2D
4 Octvs CastrumFavara2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Apr 2026Milazzo v Vigor Lamezia0–0

More Serie D Girone I predictions

FT AC Palermo1 Igea Virtus2 412336 GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.58 ✓ FT CastrumFavara1 Vibonese2 181963 2Vibonese to win 63%@1.65 ✓ FT Enna0 Reggina3 121573 GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.03 ✗ FT Sambiase2 Ragusa0 672310 1Sambiase to win 67%@1.36 ✓ FT Siracusa1 Nissa0 442234 GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.68 ✗ FT Digiesse PraiaTortora0 Trapani 19052 432235 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.36 ✓ FT Gela2 Calcio Avola1 402435 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.23 ✓ FT Modica5 Licata1 402436 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.36 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Milazzo vs Vigor Lamezia?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.69.

Who will win Milazzo vs Vigor Lamezia?

On our numbers Milazzo have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vigor Lamezia 29%.

How many goals will there be in Milazzo vs Vigor Lamezia?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

When is Milazzo vs Vigor Lamezia?

Milazzo vs Vigor Lamezia (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.