Serie D Girone I · ItalyMilazzo vs Siracusa prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Milazzo 1.1 – 1.4 Siracusa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Siracusa shade it despite being away from home – 47% to win, against 31% for Milazzo.
Milazzo have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Siracusa have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. Siracusa come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.1 for Milazzo, 1.4 for Siracusa). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 48%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.83.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Siracusa to win ✗ | 47% | 2.11 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Siracusa / FT Siracusa ✗ | 26% | 3.80 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.34 | – |
Form
Milazzo – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ AC Palermo | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Sambiase | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | @ Enna | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Ragusa | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ CastrumFavara | 0–3 | L |
| 3 May | @ Messina | 0–1 | L |
Siracusa – last 6
| 27 Sep | vs Modica | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Digiesse PraiaTortora | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Sep | vs Gela | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Vibonese | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs AC Palermo | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Apr | vs Atalanta II | 3–3 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Milazzo and Siracusa.
Serie D Girone I table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Reggina | 11 | +21 | 26 |
| 2 |  Sambiase | 11 | +11 | 26 |
| 3 |  Vibonese | 11 | +14 | 24 |
| 4 |  Calcio Avola | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Milazzo | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Digiesse PraiaTortora | 11 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Igea Virtus | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Gela | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 9 |  Siracusa | 11 | +8 | 14 |
| 10 |  AC Palermo | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Licata | 11 | -11 | 14 |
| 12 |  Modica | 11 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Nissa | 11 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Trapani 1905 | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  CastrumFavara | 11 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Vigor Lamezia | 11 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Ragusa | 11 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 |  Enna | 11 | -23 | 3 |
More Serie D Girone I predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Milazzo vs Siracusa?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Milazzo vs Siracusa?
On our numbers Milazzo have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Siracusa 47%.
How many goals will there be in Milazzo vs Siracusa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Milazzo vs Siracusa?
Milazzo vs Siracusa (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.