Serie D Girone I · ItalyLicata vs Sambiase prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Licata 1.1 – 1.4 Sambiase expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sambiase shade it despite being away from home – 47% to win, against 31% for Licata.
Licata have taken 8 points from their last 5 matches (2W 2D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4 per game. Sambiase have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.1 for Licata, 1.4 for Sambiase). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is close to our fair price of 1.82.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sambiase to win ✗ | 47% | 2.15 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.98 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sambiase / FT Sambiase ✗ | 26% | 3.85 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.54 | – |
Form
Licata – last 5
| 26 Sep | @ Enna | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Ragusa | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ CastrumFavara | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Nissa | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Reggina | 0–5 | L |
Sambiase – last 6
| 27 Sep | vs Vigor Lamezia | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Milazzo | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | vs Modica | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Digiesse PraiaTortora | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Gela | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Salernitana | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Licata and Sambiase.
Serie D Girone I table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Reggina | 11 | +21 | 26 |
| 2 |  Sambiase | 11 | +11 | 26 |
| 3 |  Vibonese | 11 | +14 | 24 |
| 4 |  Calcio Avola | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Milazzo | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Digiesse PraiaTortora | 11 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Igea Virtus | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Gela | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 9 |  Siracusa | 11 | +8 | 14 |
| 10 |  AC Palermo | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Licata | 11 | -11 | 14 |
| 12 |  Modica | 11 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Nissa | 11 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Trapani 1905 | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  CastrumFavara | 11 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Vigor Lamezia | 11 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Ragusa | 11 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 |  Enna | 11 | -23 | 3 |
More Serie D Girone I predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Licata vs Sambiase?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Licata vs Sambiase?
On our numbers Licata have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sambiase 47%.
How many goals will there be in Licata vs Sambiase?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Licata vs Sambiase?
Licata vs Sambiase (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.