Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Nissa to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNissa to win ✗63% · @1.95
Double chanceNissa or draw ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Nissa vs Vibonese preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone I sees Nissa take on Vibonese on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Nissa are 13th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Vibonese sit 3rd on 24 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nissa's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Calcio Avola 2–4 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vibonese's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat AC Palermo 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Nissa and 1.0 for Vibonese. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nissa 63%, draw 21%, Vibonese 16%.
Safer route: Nissa or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Value angle: Nissa to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nissa or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nissa 2–1 Vibonese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nissa63%fair 1.60 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.20
Vibonese16%fair 6.18 · @3.40
3.16Expected goals
2.15Nissa xG
1.01Vibonese xG
52%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Nissa 2.1 – 1.0 Vibonese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nissa to win✗
63%
1.60
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Nissa or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Nissa ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nissa / FT Nissa✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Form
Nissa – last 6
LWDWDW
20 Sep
@ Calcio Avola
2–4
L
16 Sep
vs Trapani 1905
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Licata
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Vigor Lamezia
3–1
W
17 May
vs Reggina
0–0
D
10 May
vs Gelbison
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vibonese – last 6
WLDWWW
20 Sep
vs AC Palermo
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ Igea Virtus
3–4
L
12 Sep
vs Siracusa
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Trapani 1905
4–0
W
10 May
vs Acireale
1–0
W
3 May
vs Acireale
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nissa and Vibonese.
Our pick is Nissa or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nissa vs Vibonese?
On our numbers Nissa have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vibonese 16%.
How many goals will there be in Nissa vs Vibonese?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nissa vs Vibonese?
Our predicted score is Nissa 2–1 Vibonese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Nissa vs Vibonese?
Nissa vs Vibonese (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
