Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSambiase to win ✓60% · @1.70
Double chanceSambiase or draw ✓80% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.12
Sambiase vs Vigor Lamezia preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone I sees Sambiase take on Vigor Lamezia on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Sambiase are 2nd with 26 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Vigor Lamezia sit 16th on 8 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sambiase's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Milazzo 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Vigor Lamezia's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Reggina 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Sambiase arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Sambiase and 0.8 for Vigor Lamezia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 46%.
Our pre-match pick was Sambiase to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sambiase 1–0 Vigor Lamezia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sambiase60%fair 1.66 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.40
Vigor Lamezia20%fair 5.09 · @4.33
2.48Expected goals
1.68Sambiase xG
0.80Vigor Lamezia xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sambiase 1.7 – 0.8 Vigor Lamezia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sambiase to win✓
60%
1.66
1.70
Double chance
Sambiase or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sambiase / FT Sambiase✓
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.12
–
Form
Sambiase – last 6
WWDWLL
20 Sep
@ Milazzo
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Modica
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Digiesse PraiaTortora
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Gela
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Salernitana
1–2
L
3 May
@ Reggina
2–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vigor Lamezia – last 6
LDDLWD
20 Sep
vs Reggina
0–3
L
16 Sep
@ Ragusa
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Igea Virtus
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Nissa
1–3
L
3 May
vs Igea Virtus
4–1
W
26 Apr
@ Sancataldese
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sambiase and Vigor Lamezia.
What is the prediction for Sambiase vs Vigor Lamezia?
Our pick is Sambiase to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Sambiase vs Vigor Lamezia?
On our numbers Sambiase have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Vigor Lamezia 20%.
How many goals will there be in Sambiase vs Vigor Lamezia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sambiase vs Vigor Lamezia?
Our predicted score is Sambiase 1–0 Vigor Lamezia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sambiase vs Vigor Lamezia?
Sambiase vs Vigor Lamezia (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
