Serie D Girone B · ItalyTritium vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.92 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
Value bet: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo to win @ 2.35 – our chance 45% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Tritium 1.2 – 1.5 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo shade it despite being away from home – 45% to win, against 32% for Tritium.
Tritium have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.3 per game. Virtus Ciserano Bergamo have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.2 for Tritium, 1.5 for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 52% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.92. For a bigger price, Virtus Ciserano Bergamo to win at 2.35 is our value angle (45% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo to win ✗ | 45% | 2.20 | 2.35 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.34 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Virtus Ciserano Bergamo / FT Virtus Ciserano Bergamo ✗ | 26% | 3.88 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 9.74 | – |
Form
Tritium – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Virtus Verona | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Club Milano | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Oct | @ Villa Valle | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Chievo | 0–5 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Rovato Vertovese | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Pavonese | 2–3 | L |
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Leon | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Nibbiano & Valtidone | 1–4 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Virtus Verona | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Club Milano | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Sep | @ Chievo | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | vs Pavonese | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tritium and Virtus Ciserano Bergamo.
Serie D Girone B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chievo | 11 | +16 | 25 |
| 2 |  Nibbiano & Valtidone | 11 | +9 | 25 |
| 3 |  Milan II | 11 | +6 | 23 |
| 4 |  Piacenza | 11 | +10 | 21 |
| 5 |  Leon | 11 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 |  Caldiero Terme | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 7 |  Villa Valle | 11 | +5 | 17 |
| 8 |  Pavonese | 11 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Scanzorosciate | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 |  Pro Palazzolo | 11 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 |  Real Calepina | 11 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 |  Virtus Verona | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Club Milano | 11 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |  Rovato Vertovese | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 16 |  Brusaporto | 11 | -10 | 9 |
| 17 |  Fiorenzuola | 11 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 |  Tritium | 11 | -10 | 6 |
More Serie D Girone B predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Tritium vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Tritium vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?
On our numbers Tritium have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 45%.
How many goals will there be in Tritium vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Tritium vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?
Tritium vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.